Lol · resolved market
LoL: DMG Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - NLC Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee5935a17f88c9349ce8830517a6532bf5b888b268f530c34e95fe59d9c5bd95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DMG Esportsof DMG Esports, Verdant
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Verdant | 56c | 21,786$12,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,132.77 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed DMG Esports | 44c | 2,893$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.93 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed DMG Esports | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed DMG Esports | 44c | 2,062$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.06 | 227 | 37%84 W · 143 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked DMG Esports | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked DMG Esports | 39c | 1,999$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.69 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…30d5backed DMG Esports | 44c | 1,875$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Verdant | 39c | 1,530$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.91 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed DMG Esports | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed DMG Esports | 44c | 1,073$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.72 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked DMG Esports | 44c | 1,021$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.76 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed DMG Esports | 44c | 1,010$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.43 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed DMG Esports | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed DMG Esports | 43c | 771.63$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.83 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed DMG Esports | 44c | 763.64$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.64 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Verdant | 44c | 547.97$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed DMG Esports | 44c | 430.62$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.15 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked Verdant | 52c | 364.34$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.1 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Verdant | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.27 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed DMG Esports | 40c | 293$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.8 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked DMG Esports | 48c | 287.66$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.46 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed DMG Esports | 44c | 275$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked DMG Esports | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.73 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed DMG Esports | 44c | 250.77$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.43 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed DMG Esports | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…fba6backed DMG Esports | 43c | 222.74$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.96 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…4c8cbacked DMG Esports | 44c | 200$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed DMG Esports | 43c | 186.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.14 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Verdant | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed DMG Esports | 34c | 165.57$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.53 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked DMG Esports | 44c | 151.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Verdant | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,492 | 48.4%722 W · 770 L | +47.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked DMG Esports | 47c | 149.31$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.02 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed DMG Esports | 44c | 142.53$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.82 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed DMG Esports | 42c | 139.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 1,299 | 26.6%345 W · 954 L | +65.4wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…00bcbacked DMG Esports | 44c | 115$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked DMG Esports | 43c | 102.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed DMG Esports | 44c | 96.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked DMG Esports | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed DMG Esports | 44c | 88.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed DMG Esports | 44c | 86.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked DMG Esports | 46c | 74.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed DMG Esports | 28c | 72.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked DMG Esports | 60c | 70.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…fdb3backed DMG Esports | 44c | 67.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Verdant | 53c | 67.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed DMG Esports | 44c | 58.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Verdant | 57c | 58.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…ce2cbacked DMG Esports | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed DMG Esports | 36c | 56.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked DMG Esports | 41c | 51.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Verdant | 58c | 51.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked DMG Esports | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DMG Esports | 45c | 49.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed DMG Esports | 44c | 46.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed DMG Esports | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed DMG Esports | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed DMG Esports | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed DMG Esports | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed DMG Esports | 50c | 40.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0f…84b9backed Verdant | 58c | 39.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed DMG Esports | 44c | 38.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked DMG Esports | 44c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked DMG Esports | 44c | 26.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 53cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked DMG Esports | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Verdant | 56c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 169 | 34.3%58 W · 111 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Verdant | 57c | 20.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Verdant | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.