CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee74d5500af18a95ebe7fb7a9ec470e2ab15089911f96889a59da7a1f74c9342
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOLHA AMARELAof FOLHA AMARELA, Isurus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Isurus | 25c | 2,742$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 63c | 2,028$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.67 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Isurus | 49c | 2,006$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.27 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Isurus | 22c | 1,621$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.1 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Isurus | 46c | 1,442$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.37 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Isurus | 50c | 1,201$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.83 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FOLHA AMARELA | 64c | 665.46$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.95 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed FOLHA AMARELA | 68c | 623$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.52 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 70c | 559$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.7 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FOLHA AMARELA | 60c | 438.66$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.95 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FOLHA AMARELA | 53c | 358.37$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.43 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…370bbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 61c | 343.16$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…a7edbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 58c | 328.74$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Isurus | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked FOLHA AMARELA | 79c | 299.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed FOLHA AMARELA | 68c | 291.44$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Isurus | 33c | 264.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.09 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Isurus | 41c | 257$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.34 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FOLHA AMARELA | 54c | 249.54$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed FOLHA AMARELA | 80c | 246.15$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 69c | 245$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bb…e773backed Isurus | 17c | 238$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Isurus | 49c | 230$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed FOLHA AMARELA | 67c | 200$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Isurus | 48c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.73 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed FOLHA AMARELA | 55c | 199.87$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.94 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Isurus | 52c | 192.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed FOLHA AMARELA | 53c | 187.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.35 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…a300backed FOLHA AMARELA | 77c | 172.17$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Isurus | 36c | 166.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Isurus | 40c | 153.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Isurus | 33c | 152.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed FOLHA AMARELA | 62c | 123$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Isurus | 16c | 100.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked FOLHA AMARELA | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7628…eb57backed Isurus | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FOLHA AMARELA | 70c | 88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 47c | 82.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 73c | 78.34$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Isurus | 50c | 73.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FOLHA AMARELA | 62c | 70.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Isurus | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Isurus | 30c | 68.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Isurus | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…5e80backed Isurus | 33c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Isurus | 24c | 54.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed FOLHA AMARELA | 50c | 52.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 66c | 51.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 51c | 45.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Isurus | 34c | 43.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Isurus | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed FOLHA AMARELA | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FOLHA AMARELA | 54c | 38.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…f6a8backed FOLHA AMARELA | 52c | 38.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed FOLHA AMARELA | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed FOLHA AMARELA | 52c | 32.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 50c | 28.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 71c | 26.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked FOLHA AMARELA | 59c | 25.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed FOLHA AMARELA | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…0abbbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 54c | 21.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…ad29backed FOLHA AMARELA | 76c | 18.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed FOLHA AMARELA | 73c | 17.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked FOLHA AMARELA | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Isurus - Map 1 WinnerFOLHA AMARELA won
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Isurus - Map 2 WinnerIsurus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.