Tennis · resolved market
Lille: Luca Van Assche vs Mikhail Kukushkin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee81fbe7c435fd13401625c6fe83dee0a0d82b80858348ccef3952d2fcbc898a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Asscheof Assche, Kukushkin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kukushkin | 30c | 2,628$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.64 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Kukushkin | 24c | 1,249$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.94 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Assche | 58c | 913.94$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.73 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Assche | 63c | 320$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Assche | 60c | 317$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.81 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Assche | 78c | 310.78$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kukushkin | 19c | 257.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Kukushkin | 55c | 205.45$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Assche | 45c | 205.45$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Kukushkin | 16c | 160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kukushkin | 19c | 138.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Kukushkin | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Assche | 63c | 105.25$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kukushkin | 40c | 104.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Assche | 65c | 98.27$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Kukushkin | 37c | 92.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Assche | 60c | 83.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d3…eb28backed Kukushkin | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Assche | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Assche | 78c | 31.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…799abacked Assche | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Assche | 61c | 31.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Assche | 61c | 29.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kukushkin | 34c | 29.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille: Luca Van Assche vs Mikhail Kukushkinthis page
- Assche vs. Kukushkin: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.