Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Poljicak vs Coppejans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee98b990fd88e1b82b16399ab67360d21d7a4707c7b61667539354ba09ef0a38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coppejansof Poljicak, Coppejans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Coppejans | 58c | 1,456$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.82 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Poljicak | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Poljicak | 28c | 423.82$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.55 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Poljicak | 43c | 417.86$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.58 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Coppejans | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 268 | 47%126 W · 142 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Poljicak | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Poljicak | 28c | 176.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…6b6ebacked Coppejans | 76c | 173.21$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Coppejans | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Poljicak | 20c | 83.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Poljicak | 43c | 59.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Coppejans | 56c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Poljicak | 44c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Coppejans | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Poljicak vs Coppejansthis page
- Split: Mili Poljicak vs Kimmer CoppejansMili Poljicak won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.