Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeea0fcd9fa5b5ac9fd952e79d6e7be66c3738e001b884545b9d1a7f2f208a87c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, DetonatioN FocusMe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 41c | 1,491$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.47 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed T1 | 61c | 992.23$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.27 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 44c | 888$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.72 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked T1 | 56c | 864.56$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.4 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…5432backed T1 | 59c | 502.33$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.96 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed T1 | 55c | 448.13$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.97 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked T1 | 77c | 229.55$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 44c | 210.45$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 46c | 191.54$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 36c | 38.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed T1 | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked T1 | 77c | 16.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaT1 won
- Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs T1 - Map 1 WinnerT1 won
- Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs T1 - Map 2 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.