Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Solana all time high in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeee27e3d0a8abbee1fe9a98f9b09b052c217f85a170c3f29889c8a729e735357
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $219,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0c7…7e0abacked Yes | 2c | 19,701$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ac…c2aabacked Yes | 0c | 10,360$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…675ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,042$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,602$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8926…5aacbacked Yes | 1c | 7,205$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…e2f1backed Yes | 2c | 6,956$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x627f…9556backed Yes | 1c | 6,552$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,409$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 1c | 5,365$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8146…b0efbacked Yes | 1c | 4,694$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 2c | 4,176$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,974$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c4…6598backed Yes | 1c | 2,200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fb…8649backed Yes | 2c | 1,686$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…cee3backed Yes | 2c | 1,555$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 1c | 1,513$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c2…e230backed Yes | 1c | 1,278$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…e42cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 1c | 1,062$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2a…a436backed Yes | 2c | 1,023$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…441ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7410…04a3backed Yes | 2c | 504.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…07f4backed Yes | 3c | 453.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f0…d33dbacked Yes | 2c | 439.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.