Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Yanan Hou vs Kyoka Okamura
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef2b47c9076d0d94adc866c17d36a9c984cf523711066a113582964a3e411e0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yanan Houof Yanan Hou, Kyoka Okamura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yanan Hou | 30c | 1,853$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.06 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yanan Hou | 34c | 1,016$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.11 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Yanan Hou | 33c | 900.83$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.94 | 375 | 34.9%131 W · 244 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Kyoka Okamura | 76c | 876.1$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.34 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Kyoka Okamura | 53c | 873.36$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.13 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yanan Hou | 30c | 866.38$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.71 | 643 | 46.2%297 W · 346 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kyoka Okamura | 75c | 799.18$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.41 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Kyoka Okamura | 63c | 640.41$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.42 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yanan Hou | 47c | 607.49$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.21 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Yanan Hou | 25c | 472.05$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.15 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092a…8577backed Yanan Hou | 15c | 327.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.25 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1952…dbf9backed Kyoka Okamura | 16c | 316.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Kyoka Okamura | 72c | 296$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Yanan Hou | 30c | 249.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.93 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kyoka Okamura | 71c | 228.76$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.61 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yanan Hou | 29c | 216.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.36 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Yanan Hou | 70c | 177.75$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 790 | 40.6%321 W · 469 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yanan Hou | 27c | 167.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.78 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Kyoka Okamura | 50c | 151$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Yanan Hou | 9c | 150$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Kyoka Okamura | 75c | 110$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 281 | 68.7%193 W · 88 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kyoka Okamura | 74c | 108$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Kyoka Okamura | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 373 | 54.2%202 W · 171 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Kyoka Okamura | 62c | 88.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Kyoka Okamura | 71c | 82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 1,144 | 47.2%540 W · 604 L | +64.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kyoka Okamura | 52c | 73.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Kyoka Okamura | 73c | 67.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kyoka Okamura | 59c | 64.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Kyoka Okamura | 74c | 64.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…b0ecbacked Yanan Hou | 25c | 55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 127 | 34.6%44 W · 83 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd663…5624backed Yanan Hou | 34c | 54.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +195.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Yanan Hou | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 197 | 45.7%90 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yanan Hou | 79c | 37.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Kyoka Okamura | 52c | 23.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Kyoka Okamura | 75c | 20.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…730ebacked Kyoka Okamura | 78c | 18.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked Kyoka Okamura | 77c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Kyoka Okamura | 78c | 13.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1,425 | 55.1%785 W · 640 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.