Tennis · resolved market
Bastad: Martha Matoula vs Yulia Putintseva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefc905bbf2616859055b6aff36e335d7834c70703c2e67da4dd5569b965c03b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yulia Putintsevaof Martha Matoula, Yulia Putintseva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Martha Matoula | 9c | 10,527$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.94 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…4917backed Martha Matoula | 15c | 9,131$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.56 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…e8e1backed Martha Matoula | 13c | 1,235$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.38 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Martha Matoula | 7c | 614.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Martha Matoula | 15c | 587.84$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Martha Matoula | 10c | 535.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Martha Matoula | 10c | 499.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Martha Matoula | 15c | 393.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Martha Matoula | 17c | 352.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Martha Matoula | 9c | 351.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Martha Matoula | 18c | 308.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Martha Matoula | 10c | 282.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Martha Matoula | 19c | 220$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Martha Matoula | 20c | 185$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Martha Matoula | 8c | 150.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Martha Matoula | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Martha Matoula | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1112…90dbbacked Martha Matoula | 22c | 69.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Martha Matoula | 32c | 64.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Martha Matoula | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Martha Matoula | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Martha Matoula | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…8202backed Martha Matoula | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Martha Matoula | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.