South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Botafogo FR: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefdb06cc7df9f341bcb45b1155788efc2b342cb75bdc6977017531b60cf3ce0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 75c | 2,383$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.7 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 1,391$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.3 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 70c | 292$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 57c | 234.89$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.44 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Yes | 47c | 206.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 16c | 110.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 48c | 91.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 44c | 89.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 75c | 85.45$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 46c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692c…aadebacked Yes | 30c | 50.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…2de1backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332b…a4fdbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…6bbcbacked No | 75c | 30.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 75c | 22.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Botafogo FR: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)Botafogo FR won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5)Botafogo FR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.