Lol · resolved market
LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefe6d19bb5549e8e4d1737298e41aa44c4551130db9f71f2853c21edaae8129c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcząca Esportsof Barcząca Esports, Forsaken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Forsaken | 46c | 729.28$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Barcząca Esports | 55c | 580$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Forsaken | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Barcząca Esports | 70c | 298.93$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.39 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Forsaken | 45c | 249.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Forsaken | 48c | 247.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Forsaken | 6c | 241$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Barcząca Esports | 49c | 221.2$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.24 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e4…354ebacked Forsaken | 30c | 193$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Barcząca Esports | 74c | 146.66$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked Barcząca Esports | 79c | 126.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Forsaken | 32c | 126.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Barcząca Esports | 48c | 106.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Forsaken | 52c | 106.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…d47dbacked Forsaken | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Forsaken | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Barcząca Esports | 46c | 92.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…99d1backed Barcząca Esports | 57c | 83.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed Forsaken | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked Forsaken | 39c | 66.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Barcząca Esports | 73c | 52.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Barcząca Esports | 53c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Barcząca Esports | 59c | 44.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 494 | 51.8%256 W · 238 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Forsaken | 47c | 43.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 322 | 53.1%171 W · 151 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Barcząca Esports | 65c | 25.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Forsaken (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular SeasonBarcząca Esports won
- LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Forsaken - Game 1 WinnerBarcząca Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.