Lol · resolved market
LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f5f0ed8a5a0c2a75a5da54c2fea5b28110030b832d966c93ebec525e156eee4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcząca Esportsof Barcząca Esports, Forsaken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Forsaken | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Forsaken | 3c | 1,500$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Barcząca Esports | 69c | 1,124$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.37 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Barcząca Esports | 70c | 1,101$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.05 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Forsaken | 27c | 1,096$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.13 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Barcząca Esports | 46c | 892.64$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Forsaken | 19c | 624.95$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.74 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Barcząca Esports | 73c | 510.91$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.82 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Forsaken | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Barcząca Esports | 40c | 475.43$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.43 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Forsaken | 25c | 405.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Forsaken | 32c | 379.24$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Forsaken | 55c | 350.91$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Forsaken | 37c | 350$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Forsaken | 27c | 339.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Forsaken | 53c | 325.63$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Barcząca Esports | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 386 | 59.8%231 W · 155 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Forsaken | 48c | 299.87$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.12 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…45cebacked Forsaken | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Barcząca Esports | 53c | 248.13$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.62 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked Barcząca Esports | 77c | 235.94$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 474 | 53.4%253 W · 221 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Forsaken | 51c | 211.29$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Barcząca Esports | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked Barcząca Esports | 77c | 194.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Barcząca Esports | 45c | 186.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.05 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…d554backed Forsaken | 57c | 175.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Barcząca Esports | 48c | 159.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…c679backed Barcząca Esports | 67c | 156.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Barcząca Esports | 75c | 146.45$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x790c…75e4backed Barcząca Esports | 74c | 132$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed Barcząca Esports | 78c | 126.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Barcząca Esports | 63c | 124.46$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Forsaken | 33c | 97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Barcząca Esports | 76c | 80.56$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 261 | 64.4%168 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Forsaken | 44c | 79.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked Barcząca Esports | 46c | 76.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 237 | 40.5%96 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Forsaken | 44c | 74.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5280…4d8ebacked Barcząca Esports | 45c | 73.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Forsaken | 57c | 70.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Forsaken | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e4…354ebacked Barcząca Esports | 40c | 59.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Forsaken | 53c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Barcząca Esports | 35c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Barcząca Esports | 73c | 40.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 238 | 80.3%191 W · 47 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Barcząca Esports | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 347 | 43.5%151 W · 196 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Forsaken | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32bb…8addbacked Barcząca Esports | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…a28dbacked Forsaken | 71c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 180 | 65%117 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Forsaken | 58c | 31.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Forsaken | 55c | 27.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Barcząca Esports | 45c | 27.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…0e38backed Barcząca Esports | 57c | 26.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…0a71backed Barcząca Esports | 76c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 207 | 58.5%121 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Barcząca Esports | 43c | 25.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked Forsaken | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 251 | 65.7%165 W · 86 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939f…bf39backed Forsaken | 53c | 21.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Forsaken | 49c | 21.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Forsaken | 57c | 19.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Barcząca Esports | 71c | 19.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Forsaken (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular SeasonBarcząca Esports won
- LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Forsaken - Game 2 WinnerBarcząca Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.