Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: by Owl Team vs SoloTeam - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0042917e074ca20b6c6cdd788e3ae79e78de018d27c500e75cf30ccc7ec6f53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- by Owl Teamof by Owl Team, SoloTeam
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SoloTeam | 41c | 612$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.32 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked by Owl Team | 51c | 605$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.35 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked by Owl Team | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed SoloTeam | 50c | 501.27$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.52 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked by Owl Team | 53c | 461$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.82 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked SoloTeam | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SoloTeam | 13c | 281.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked by Owl Team | 49c | 230.55$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.58 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed SoloTeam | 51c | 221.57$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked SoloTeam | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed SoloTeam | 47c | 63.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4a19backed by Owl Team | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed by Owl Team | 59c | 38.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed by Owl Team | 73c | 37.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…f118backed by Owl Team | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: by Owl Team vs SoloTeam - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: by Owl Team vs SoloTeam (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle PlayoffsSoloTeam won
- Dota 2: by Owl Team vs SoloTeam - Game 2 WinnerSoloTeam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.