Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: by Owl Team vs SoloTeam (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x515f9acc98200e308693d0e239c8e3407dd9fb02e6859deb0bfd39879674152b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SoloTeamof by Owl Team, SoloTeam
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed SoloTeam | 45c | 1,109$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.86 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked by Owl Team | 52c | 843.19$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.95 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked SoloTeam | 48c | 659.05$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.71 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked by Owl Team | 63c | 600$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 535 | 58.9%315 W · 220 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SoloTeam | 37c | 276.06$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.53 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked SoloTeam | 76c | 261$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed by Owl Team | 60c | 211.8$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.08 | 245 | 36.7%90 W · 155 L | -14.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked by Owl Team | 9c | 209.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed by Owl Team | 50c | 192$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…89f5backed by Owl Team | 61c | 157.39$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed by Owl Team | 54c | 138.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…49bbbacked SoloTeam | 52c | 135.38$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…bbbcbacked by Owl Team | 52c | 133.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…8b06backed by Owl Team | 65c | 100.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked by Owl Team | 31c | 71.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed SoloTeam | 38c | 67.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked by Owl Team | 30c | 47.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 326 | 6.4%21 W · 305 L | -101.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…1d8dbacked by Owl Team | 63c | 43.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed by Owl Team | 63c | 38.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed SoloTeam | 46c | 34.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…cdb1backed SoloTeam | 47c | 30.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3da…c91fbacked by Owl Team | 64c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed by Owl Team | 61c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…cc7fbacked by Owl Team | 56c | 21.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…571ebacked by Owl Team | 47c | 21.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SoloTeam | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 524 | 50.8%266 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed by Owl Team | 62c | 16.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 473 | 48.2%228 W · 245 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: by Owl Team vs SoloTeam (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: by Owl Team vs SoloTeam - Game 1 Winnerby Owl Team won
- Dota 2: by Owl Team vs SoloTeam - Game 2 WinnerSoloTeam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.