Lol · resolved market
LoL: PCIFIC vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf01122f2384d78af518e4d6feb1690ee78b35ad72124516e3869150e35985c2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PCIFIC of PCIFIC , Team Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PCIFIC | 63c | 2,466$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.28 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Team Phoenix | 42c | 771.03$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.6 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb08…b630backed Team Phoenix | 38c | 744.45$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.56 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…4ca9backed Team Phoenix | 44c | 744.32$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.51 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed PCIFIC | 66c | 711.34$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.49 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Phoenix | 41c | 625.68$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.29 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Phoenix | 33c | 463.83$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.54 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked PCIFIC | 68c | 385.46$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.28 | 1,012 | 47%476 W · 536 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed PCIFIC | 64c | 372.6$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.78 | 1,492 | 48.4%722 W · 770 L | +47.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Phoenix | 27c | 369.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked PCIFIC | 65c | 320.87$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.31 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2051…f9f1backed PCIFIC | 79c | 298.83$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PCIFIC | 59c | 256.84$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…814fbacked PCIFIC | 79c | 249.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed PCIFIC | 64c | 233.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PCIFIC | 62c | 222.77$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.65 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Team Phoenix | 44c | 199.83$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 1,223 | 48.6%594 W · 629 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Team Phoenix | 32c | 148.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 635 | 40.2%255 W · 380 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…7a82backed Team Phoenix | 25c | 138.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Phoenix | 25c | 119.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 1,545 | 43.8%676 W · 869 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Team Phoenix | 35c | 116.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…cdc6backed Team Phoenix | 42c | 80.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Phoenix | 26c | 76.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed PCIFIC | 74c | 66.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked PCIFIC | 62c | 63.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 233 | 62.7%146 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…8bb1backed PCIFIC | 54c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed PCIFIC | 68c | 58.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Team Phoenix | 46c | 58.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked PCIFIC | 64c | 55.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 372 | 45.2%168 W · 204 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Phoenix | 28c | 44.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fff…3a96backed Team Phoenix | 29c | 43.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ed…6584backed PCIFIC | 69c | 23.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked PCIFIC | 57c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 360 | 40.6%146 W · 214 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed PCIFIC | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 1,144 | 63.3%724 W · 420 L | +53.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonPCIFIC won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 WinnerPCIFIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.