South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Sarmiento vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf01e30bfc58764a822b7071bb6e259e641cf5276573de817b45265902a6b80d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 41c | 999.98$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 59c | 435.11$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.67 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 339$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.34 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 202.88$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.06 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 69c | 195.09$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.56 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 59c | 155.09$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 133.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.46 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 58c | 92.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 40c | 64.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 41c | 63.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 41c | 62.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Yes | 41c | 62.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 41c | 62.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 63c | 58.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 57c | 58.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 59c | 51.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 59c | 51.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 59c | 51.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 59c | 51.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 40c | 49.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Yes | 40c | 46.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 38c | 41.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 60c | 40.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 61c | 33.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed No | 66c | 22.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Sarmiento vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Sarmiento vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Sarmiento vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Sarmiento vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA Sarmiento (-1.5)Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.