Premier League · resolved market
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf02d36c0e2e351d6ffc8301e52c3f44e1d40c746412daa2402fc7079fcaea2ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,771 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 2,700$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 2,430$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.11 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 79c | 1,055$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.37 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 508.5$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 11c | 334.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 264.6$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…26f2backed Yes | 12c | 212.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 196.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 23c | 158.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 153.2$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 72c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 10c | 146.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…444abacked Yes | 28c | 136$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…dc7dbacked Yes | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 95.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 90.75$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 71c | 76.68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 29c | 64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 39.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes | 29c | 36.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 70c | 23.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 72c | 18.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-03-10?No won
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-03-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.