Premier League · resolved market
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-03-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2116d9b199444eeef5638ef8d90fe63030211e09c7c03b985cbcc3fe7310fb2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,480 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 3,378$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.87 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 30c | 2,513$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.02 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 70c | 2,119$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.36 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 29c | 1,663$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.01 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 28c | 1,005$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.49 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 23c | 932.84$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.42 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 33c | 756.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.68 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 16c | 739.88$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 735.21$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.9 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 72c | 700$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 433.03$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.29 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…e547backed Yes | 79c | 380.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 317.18$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.56 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 29c | 250$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 20c | 158.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 29c | 136.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 288 | 24.7%71 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 121.34$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 119.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.29 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 115$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x586c…a188backed No | 71c | 105$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 20c | 98.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 90.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 31c | 79.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 25c | 79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 71c | 76.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 27c | 64.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 58c | 53.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 33c | 49.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 73c | 47.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 70c | 34.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 72c | 27.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 73c | 26.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 67c | 24.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 72c | 22.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 73c | 18.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x028d…dc79backed Yes | 66c | 16.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-03-10?this page
- Will Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-03-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.