Other European Leagues · resolved market
Celtic FC vs. Livingston FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0b4ea616c612be340a15c8b87baca1f63a66f5925838f8696393db0ccf337a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 3,755$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.1 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 1,230$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.78 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Under | 6c | 501.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 75c | 429.35$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.35 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Under | 6c | 299.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 57c | 235$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 46c | 217.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.05 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 63c | 187.65$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 56c | 184.89$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.35 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x037f…e61cbacked Under | 6c | 180.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 66c | 150.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 76c | 144.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 62c | 129.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 61c | 111.2$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Under | 27c | 91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +45%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked Over | 61c | 79.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 77c | 78.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 49c | 66.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…084dbacked Under | 62c | 51.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 46.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 74c | 42.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 26c | 42.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Under | 27c | 39.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over | 35c | 38.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 58c | 34.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 55c | 31.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Over | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…2afcbacked Over | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Over | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Over | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 63c | 16.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtic FC vs. Livingston FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Celtic FC vs. Livingston FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Celtic FC vs. Livingston FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. Livingston FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Livingston FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)Livingston FC won
- Spread: Livingston FC (-1.5)Celtic FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.