Tennis · resolved market
Menorca: Yaroslav Demin vs Jonas Forejtek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0be6dd06d8fcc11d0a4a512f72df3493c588a3b8ff587588f56617b2407677c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jonas Forejtekof Yaroslav Demin, Jonas Forejtek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1d9…5955backed Yaroslav Demin | 1c | 3,168$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yaroslav Demin | 7c | 2,751$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.17 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yaroslav Demin | 11c | 2,388$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Yaroslav Demin | 9c | 1,209$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Yaroslav Demin | 22c | 1,180$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.5 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…780bbacked Yaroslav Demin | 7c | 809.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yaroslav Demin | 3c | 767.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yaroslav Demin | 9c | 520.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…45e5backed Yaroslav Demin | 16c | 427.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yaroslav Demin | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0e…b4dbbacked Yaroslav Demin | 13c | 286.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…34d0backed Yaroslav Demin | 22c | 226.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Jonas Forejtek | 77c | 220.83$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Yaroslav Demin | 9c | 198.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Yaroslav Demin | 11c | 180.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed Yaroslav Demin | 23c | 144.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Jonas Forejtek | 78c | 128.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Jonas Forejtek | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 224 | 65.2%146 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yaroslav Demin | 13c | 116.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jonas Forejtek | 79c | 96.03$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Jonas Forejtek | 78c | 81.88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Yaroslav Demin | 20c | 62.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 871 | 35.4%308 W · 563 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Jonas Forejtek | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Jonas Forejtek | 78c | 13.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.