Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf10e4bf317bad1dd506b046955d7efc87b3f461a722334440bbd92a3fe312d6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 8c | 8,811$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.87 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 29c | 2,351$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.88 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 72c | 1,620$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.11 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 6c | 1,510$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 6c | 588.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 4c | 516.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 60c | 257.26$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.86 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 71c | 220$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 37c | 194$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 34c | 182.52$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.46 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 67c | 145$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 137.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 36c | 125$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 35c | 119$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 38c | 68.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 34c | 68.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 32c | 64.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 64c | 62.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 56c | 59.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…1bf5backed Yes | 47c | 42.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.7wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 64c | 22.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 64c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will Derby County FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.