Tennis · resolved market
ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Alina Tikhonova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf114b48a702fa451dc14cef53f35379a18dc7ff5a421e980c323ef239074a372
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alina Tikhonovaof Shihomi Li Xuan Leong, Alina Tikhonova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alina Tikhonova | 49c | 4,517$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.1 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 55c | 3,307$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.9 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 16c | 2,049$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.44 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 41c | 1,011$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.07 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…2287backed Alina Tikhonova | 55c | 318.36$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.7 | 70 | 70%49 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 43c | 241.32$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 243 | 37%90 W · 153 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 56c | 191$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.96 | 1,806 | 40.9%739 W · 1,067 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Alina Tikhonova | 46c | 145.89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 34c | 122.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 50c | 104.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Alina Tikhonova | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 345 | 53.3%184 W · 161 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 50c | 99.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2,111 | 56.1%1,184 W · 927 L | +42.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 18c | 86.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 41c | 59.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Alina Tikhonova | 57c | 56.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 557 | 53.7%299 W · 258 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 402 | 35.8%144 W · 258 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 37c | 38.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alina Tikhonova | 68c | 37.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Alina Tikhonova | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Alina Tikhonova | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Alina Tikhonova | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alina Tikhonova | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Alina Tikhonova | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Alina Tikhonova | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Alina Tikhonova | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Alina Tikhonova | 68c | 19.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 932 | 58.5%545 W · 387 L | +22.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Alina Tikhonova | 73c | 17.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.