Tennis · resolved market
Wuning 2: Hiroki Moriya vs Charles Broom
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf12f62709bd646cb197fd92569f8b04d04d896e7b9ca7833f348609fa4db7adb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charles Broomof Hiroki Moriya, Charles Broom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Hiroki Moriya | 33c | 1,163$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.92 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Charles Broom | 67c | 1,014$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.38 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Hiroki Moriya | 11c | 693.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Charles Broom | 80c | 690.69$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.89 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Hiroki Moriya | 10c | 662.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Charles Broom | 79c | 614.15$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.66 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hiroki Moriya | 25c | 499.8$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.72 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Hiroki Moriya | 21c | 421.53$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Hiroki Moriya | 15c | 349.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Hiroki Moriya | 10c | 286.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hiroki Moriya | 13c | 249.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Hiroki Moriya | 37c | 239.42$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…34d0backed Hiroki Moriya | 36c | 200.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Hiroki Moriya | 31c | 199.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Charles Broom | 70c | 175.36$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Charles Broom | 67c | 150$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Charles Broom | 67c | 143.85$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Charles Broom | 67c | 132.27$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Charles Broom | 70c | 116.92$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 348 | 47.1%164 W · 184 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Charles Broom | 63c | 102.92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Hiroki Moriya | 32c | 99.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Charles Broom | 67c | 80.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Hiroki Moriya | 25c | 75.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Charles Broom | 63c | 41.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Charles Broom | 63c | 34.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Charles Broom | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Charles Broom | 68c | 28.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 249 | 65.1%162 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Charles Broom | 71c | 22.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 149 | 58.4%87 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e1…02bfbacked Charles Broom | 72c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed Charles Broom | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Charles Broom | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Charles Broom | 77c | 18.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuning 2: Hiroki Moriya vs Charles Broomthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Moriya vs BroomBroom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.