CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #19 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1387fcfed92075fe72861e3f2c127630fc202ce8bb1cee583538d76c244530e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSDIILITof Lilmix, CSDIILIT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked CSDIILIT | 57c | 657.02$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.54 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed CSDIILIT | 38c | 527.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.93 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…14bbbacked CSDIILIT | 44c | 441$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Lilmix | 43c | 396$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.28 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Lilmix | 62c | 380.89$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.26 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lilmix | 51c | 330.23$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.45 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…59cdbacked CSDIILIT | 40c | 308.6$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.05 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…97eabacked Lilmix | 56c | 263$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +147.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed Lilmix | 40c | 250.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lilmix | 27c | 199.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4b…e600backed Lilmix | 56c | 177$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…dc56backed CSDIILIT | 28c | 176.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lilmix | 39c | 174.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Lilmix | 14c | 169.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…3545backed Lilmix | 21c | 169$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lilmix | 58c | 162.46$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.62 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked CSDIILIT | 39c | 161.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.78 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed CSDIILIT | 62c | 151.29$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked CSDIILIT | 40c | 126.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked CSDIILIT | 64c | 123$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lilmix | 60c | 118.83$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked CSDIILIT | 53c | 108.27$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4554…9694backed Lilmix | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Lilmix | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked CSDIILIT | 44c | 57.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Lilmix | 56c | 50.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5043…c922backed Lilmix | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked CSDIILIT | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed CSDIILIT | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed CSDIILIT | 56c | 48.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed CSDIILIT | 40c | 42.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Lilmix | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Lilmix | 54c | 38.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked CSDIILIT | 77c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lilmix | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862c…9d40backed CSDIILIT | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed CSDIILIT | 54c | 18.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8932…1cc4backed Lilmix | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.