Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rice Owls vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1644c299ba1f6a869808fdc976e34b944ae61c82fc4d7332fd418fb2025042b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesof Rice Owls, Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rice Owls | 34c | 3,811$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.16 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rice Owls | 20c | 3,013$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.44 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 31c | 1,572$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.17 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rice Owls | 31c | 1,036$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.67 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rice Owls | 25c | 721.54$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.73 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 68c | 591$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.12 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rice Owls | 32c | 496$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.72 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Rice Owls | 66c | 275$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.25 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 55c | 181.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed Rice Owls | 66c | 170.09$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 69c | 150.57$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Rice Owls | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Rice Owls | 9c | 125$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Rice Owls | 31c | 102$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Rice Owls | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 71c | 91$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Rice Owls | 16c | 73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Rice Owls | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Rice Owls | 42c | 28.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 73c | 27.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 70c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 73c | 23.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ce…2972backed Rice Owls | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.