Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sao Paulo: Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez vs Oceane Babel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf17b8c4f6e78fc3c5b133cb9d1dfa4dac6de4cbd8622de4552c87684821045c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oceane Babelof Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez, Oceane Babel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 27c | 2,988$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.85 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Oceane Babel | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Oceane Babel | 68c | 289.81$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.81 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Oceane Babel | 70c | 283.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 22c | 262.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Oceane Babel | 60c | 158.37$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Oceane Babel | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Oceane Babel | 68c | 146.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 32c | 90.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Oceane Babel | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Oceane Babel | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Oceane Babel | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcafb…a4e4backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 18c | 68.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Oceane Babel | 72c | 51.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Oceane Babel | 76c | 50.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Oceane Babel | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Oceane Babel | 70c | 48.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Oceane Babel | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 243 | 44%107 W · 136 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oceane Babel | 70c | 33.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d08…394abacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 30c | 33.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…848dbacked Oceane Babel | 60c | 33.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…2fe6backed Oceane Babel | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8d…d241backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 39c | 27.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Oceane Babel | 79c | 25.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 77cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Oceane Babel | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Oceane Babel | 79c | 19.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.