Premier League · resolved market
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1ab1eb9412ff7c301209fdd8371b49d8cc50edee8ee2df6bb66f0a906289d5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 719.03$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.47 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 32c | 433.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.13 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 267.47$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.41 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 122$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 38c | 62.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Under | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Over | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 38.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Under | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4401…74aabacked Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6f…f838backed Over | 49c | 24.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2731…fb6ebacked Over | 50c | 24.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3d…5696backed Over | 49c | 24.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9257…2320backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc2…6c2fbacked Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…5370backed Over | 50c | 23.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…9842backed Over | 48c | 23.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df3…4520backed Over | 50c | 23.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95aa…54a1backed Over | 49c | 22.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 53c | 22.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…4228backed Over | 48c | 22.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd117…559fbacked Over | 48c | 22.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…392ebacked Over | 49c | 22.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…80f4backed Under | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…d772backed Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4391…809ebacked Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…4547backed Under | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2052…6f6cbacked Under | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…19c0backed Under | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd17…ff96backed Over | 48c | 21.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d2…2147backed Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-1.5)Bristol City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.