Euroleague · resolved market
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Tianjin Pioneers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1c902fd3ef8f6a70fda3a57a8604b419559f0ed2337edef8b32a7f3be8a3f2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tianjin Pioneersof Guangzhou Loong Lions, Tianjin Pioneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb177…1914backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 64c | 4,651$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.9wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Tianjin Pioneers | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Tianjin Pioneers | 34c | 743.85$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.94 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 66c | 427$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Tianjin Pioneers | 35c | 400$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.5 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 63c | 252.12$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.02 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…592fbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 70c | 209.12$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Tianjin Pioneers | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +704.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Tianjin Pioneers | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Tianjin Pioneers | 30c | 146.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Tianjin Pioneers | 35c | 128.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Tianjin Pioneers | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Tianjin Pioneers | 35c | 82.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Tianjin Pioneers | 35c | 74.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 55c | 71.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Tianjin Pioneers | 47c | 67.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 65c | 62.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 54c | 60.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 66c | 56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 66c | 45.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Tianjin Pioneers | 40c | 36.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 66c | 35.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 49c | 31.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -8.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 49c | 29.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 66c | 28.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Tianjin Pioneers | 47c | 27.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 66c | 17.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.