Tennis · resolved market
Madrid: Lina Gjorcheska vs Sara Saito
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1daae5762f814de134029d5a6ae1d4c6b2073890bb6e06686c2b59dca1810e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lina Gjorcheskaof Lina Gjorcheska, Sara Saito
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lina Gjorcheska | 73c | 3,415$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.72 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sara Saito | 40c | 2,201$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.73 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Lina Gjorcheska | 55c | 1,903$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.49 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sara Saito | 36c | 1,446$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.5 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Lina Gjorcheska | 43c | 1,010$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.7 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sara Saito | 48c | 654.69$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.96 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lina Gjorcheska | 61c | 456.91$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.34 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Sara Saito | 43c | 451.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.13 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sara Saito | 28c | 413.41$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.51 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sara Saito | 36c | 401.37$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.32 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sara Saito | 53c | 256.61$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.5 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lina Gjorcheska | 61c | 234.31$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.58 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Sara Saito | 56c | 227.75$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.54 | 244 | 63.5%155 W · 89 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lina Gjorcheska | 67c | 225.74$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.63 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Sara Saito | 22c | 188.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sara Saito | 19c | 178.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Sara Saito | 17c | 175.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Sara Saito | 55c | 154.01$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.71 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Lina Gjorcheska | 45c | 149.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Sara Saito | 21c | 140.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Lina Gjorcheska | 44c | 131.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Sara Saito | 60c | 126.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Lina Gjorcheska | 63c | 86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Sara Saito | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Sara Saito | 40c | 78.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 272 | 47.4%129 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Lina Gjorcheska | 37c | 74.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lina Gjorcheska | 72c | 74.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Lina Gjorcheska | 73c | 62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Lina Gjorcheska | 39c | 54.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd76…22febacked Lina Gjorcheska | 46c | 53.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Lina Gjorcheska | 65c | 41.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Sara Saito | 60c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 502 | 59%296 W · 206 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lina Gjorcheska | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…3dd3backed Lina Gjorcheska | 54c | 39.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Sara Saito | 38c | 39.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Sara Saito | 38c | 39.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7a…2488backed Lina Gjorcheska | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Sara Saito | 40c | 37.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…9184backed Sara Saito | 29c | 35.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Sara Saito | 40c | 33.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…7f50backed Lina Gjorcheska | 77c | 33.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lina Gjorcheska | 44c | 33.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Sara Saito | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 643 | 58.8%378 W · 265 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…e392backed Lina Gjorcheska | 74c | 32.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Lina Gjorcheska | 45c | 28.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb24b…04ddbacked Lina Gjorcheska | 50c | 25.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46ea…d849backed Sara Saito | 62c | 23.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 163 | 70.6%115 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e4…0b1fbacked Sara Saito | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Sara Saito | 56c | 21.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…6844backed Lina Gjorcheska | 68c | 19.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6836…049ebacked Lina Gjorcheska | 76c | 18.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.