South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Blooming win on 2026-03-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf23e4c5007a7096b0d372aabb9898b3a211be5ae7b63b2b7ad2c55e239517d3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,824 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 40c | 1,352$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.51 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 43c | 559.3$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.24 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 60c | 465$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed Yes | 57c | 385.81$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.9 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 55c | 275.97$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.19 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 41c | 204.59$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.43 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 79c | 197.12$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…7553backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked No | 44c | 164.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…bacbbacked Yes | 62c | 158.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 38c | 158.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 66c | 145.19$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 40c | 141$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 34c | 135.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 93.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Yes | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 63c | 84.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Yes | 60c | 83.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed No | 45c | 67.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 40c | 55.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46a…baf8backed No | 42c | 54.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Yes | 61c | 52.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 37c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Yes | 63c | 49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x805e…9f31backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f8…73b4backed Yes | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 61c | 28.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes | 59c | 27.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 59c | 24.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31aa…b7f2backed Yes | 56c | 24.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50c…c556backed Yes | 56c | 22.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ec…cf61backed Yes | 61c | 17.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Blooming win on 2026-03-04?this page
- Will CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo win on 2026-03-04?No won
- Will Club Blooming vs. CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.