Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UNCG Spartans vs. East Carolina Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf29cde83b533934605af336b60d49cf52e1aaf8f0d3ef73844a5e7f9f0a53935
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNCG Spartansof UNCG Spartans, East Carolina Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked East Carolina Pirates | 53c | 3,838$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.37 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UNCG Spartans | 47c | 2,068$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.28 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UNCG Spartans | 57c | 1,409$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.62 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed East Carolina Pirates | 34c | 1,048$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.24 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UNCG Spartans | 57c | 810.23$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.92 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UNCG Spartans | 28c | 802.55$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.03 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked East Carolina Pirates | 39c | 740.33$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.01 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked East Carolina Pirates | 73c | 700$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed East Carolina Pirates | 73c | 700$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked UNCG Spartans | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed UNCG Spartans | 54c | 349.25$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UNCG Spartans | 57c | 310.17$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.54 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked UNCG Spartans | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked East Carolina Pirates | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed East Carolina Pirates | 70c | 175$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed East Carolina Pirates | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed East Carolina Pirates | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed East Carolina Pirates | 71c | 69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed UNCG Spartans | 29c | 69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed UNCG Spartans | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed UNCG Spartans | 30c | 41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed UNCG Spartans | 55c | 18.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UNCG Spartans vs. East Carolina Piratesthis page
- UNCG Spartans vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 141.5Over won
- UNCG Spartans vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 146.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.