NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2bda5dc418297afdb7caa729f70effe8c015f3cea38ec6ff6e6954347b95ed9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Devils, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Penguins | 48c | 2,035$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.64 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Devils | 68c | 1,660$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.11 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Devils | 59c | 1,392$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.9 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins | 42c | 1,223$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.32 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Devils | 56c | 999.67$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.86 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Devils | 45c | 969.42$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.37 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Penguins | 43c | 869.57$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.91 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Devils | 58c | 705.37$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.47 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Devils | 58c | 546.9$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.7 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Penguins | 41c | 505$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Devils | 57c | 395.53$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.76 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Devils | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Devils | 78c | 364.07$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Penguins | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Penguins | 40c | 296.09$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.43 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Penguins | 21c | 242.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Penguins | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Penguins | 43c | 224.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Penguins | 40c | 216.47$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…fc1cbacked Penguins | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Devils | 61c | 192.95$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377a…e167backed Devils | 59c | 187$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Penguins | 43c | 177.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Penguins | 42c | 167.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…dd54backed Devils | 59c | 159$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda7…7389backed Penguins | 41c | 159$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddc…ca7ebacked Penguins | 42c | 150.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb319…c5bbbacked Penguins | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Devils | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e80…585dbacked Devils | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfe…9213backed Devils | 59c | 142$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Penguins | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Penguins | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Penguins | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…0b95backed Penguins | 42c | 111.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1d…0cbbbacked Devils | 59c | 110$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…9538backed Penguins | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Penguins | 39c | 106.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4c…c56cbacked Penguins | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Penguins | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Penguins | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Penguins | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Devils | 59c | 98.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe066…5247backed Devils | 60c | 96.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Devils | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…9178backed Penguins | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…3c5abacked Penguins | 41c | 88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b59…eccdbacked Devils | 60c | 87.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19da…6c55backed Penguins | 41c | 85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Devils | 58c | 85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb6…8a70backed Devils | 60c | 80.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…3a05backed Penguins | 42c | 78.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…ccd1backed Penguins | 41c | 74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Devils | 78c | 71.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Penguins | 42c | 70.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbed…c35ebacked Devils | 60c | 69.72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Devils | 60c | 66.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4516…2dc0backed Penguins | 41c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf613…b732backed Devils | 59c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…b557backed Penguins | 44c | 56.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda38…e810backed Penguins | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f3…d3aabacked Devils | 57c | 54.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cf…de29backed Penguins | 41c | 54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2f…5c5ebacked Devils | 59c | 53.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda9f…00bebacked Devils | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5945…ac63backed Penguins | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Devils | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Penguins | 42c | 44.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa656…dc14backed Devils | 57c | 44.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Devils | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Penguins | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ea…2dd0backed Devils | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Penguins | 43c | 40.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…dc1cbacked Devils | 57c | 40.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…acfebacked Penguins | 40c | 37.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…cb5abacked Penguins | 40c | 36.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025a…cef9backed Devils | 60c | 36.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…01c2backed Devils | 59c | 36.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…3d3cbacked Devils | 60c | 35.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Devils | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Penguins | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…c3eabacked Devils | 60c | 34.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…52f7backed Penguins | 40c | 34.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f4…c0e3backed Penguins | 41c | 34.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3afe…b739backed Devils | 59c | 34.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5698…70d1backed Penguins | 40c | 34.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…30e8backed Penguins | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x964f…9068backed Devils | 57c | 33.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Penguins | 43c | 32.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7de6…eebabacked Penguins | 43c | 32.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e8…c353backed Devils | 57c | 32.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac5…5371backed Devils | 60c | 31.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…22a4backed Devils | 61c | 30.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +68%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce0…7e74backed Penguins | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…da67backed Devils | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…3607backed Devils | 60c | 29.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8f…5db9backed Devils | 57c | 29.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…5c27backed Penguins | 40c | 28.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.