Tennis · resolved market
Merida Open Akron: Jasmine Paolini vs Priscilla Hon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2ce2eff93b06d32995f3bf9eb49ccc525e39561573d299c21c35573b7d74dd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paoliniof Paolini, Hon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Hon | 5c | 25,157$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.86 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hon | 6c | 13,317$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.36 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Hon | 2c | 9,110$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.64 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hon | 4c | 6,731$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.56 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Hon | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hon | 4c | 4,098$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.04 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hon | 5c | 3,211$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.91 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hon | 7c | 1,822$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.56 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Hon | 3c | 1,513$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Hon | 7c | 1,257$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.43 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Hon | 18c | 1,250$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.38 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Hon | 19c | 908.2$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.39 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hon | 6c | 729.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hon | 7c | 710.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Hon | 17c | 481.34$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Hon | 16c | 459.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hon | 17c | 245.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Hon | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Hon | 17c | 162.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Hon | 17c | 137.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Hon | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Hon | 18c | 121.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Hon | 18c | 110.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Hon | 17c | 99.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Hon | 12c | 91.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed Paolini | 78c | 47.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Merida Open Akron: Jasmine Paolini vs Priscilla Honthis page
- Set Handicap: Paolini (-1.5) vs Hon (+1.5)Paolini won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.