Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Noah Zamora vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf32f2ff5c864858dab246ef802445b1abf32d42900f1eece2522ce02eda9863c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdesof Noah Zamora, Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Noah Zamora | 47c | 11,111$5,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,182.45 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 59c | 8,392$4,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445.74 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 75c | 749.33$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.68 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…8b19backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 44c | 478.23$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.81 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Noah Zamora | 10c | 439.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 50c | 357.65$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.99 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Noah Zamora | 10c | 263.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Noah Zamora | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 78c | 217.07$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7596…f13abacked Noah Zamora | 54c | 170.64$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.46 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Noah Zamora | 46c | 144.39$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…dba4backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 61c | 139.34$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Noah Zamora | 18c | 124.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Noah Zamora | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 64c | 110.56$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c07…f713backed Noah Zamora | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 67c | 99.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Noah Zamora | 42c | 99.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 53c | 98.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 73c | 98.56$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 78c | 95.55$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…4324backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 66c | 89.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Noah Zamora | 37c | 75.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…c6f3backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 55c | 74.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Noah Zamora | 48c | 58.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Noah Zamora | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Noah Zamora | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Noah Zamora | 56c | 52.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Noah Zamora | 46c | 45.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 58c | 37.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 58c | 31.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Noah Zamora | 34c | 29.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Noah Zamora | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Noah Zamora | 39c | 26.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | 53c | 18.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.