NHL · resolved market
AHL: Charlotte Checkers vs. Toronto Marlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf35ee45cd028d04e0100e829515772ced7f7b697c1dd3313489b093a20b53664
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charlotte Checkersof Charlotte Checkers, Toronto Marlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Charlotte Checkers | 58c | 3,042$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.16 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Toronto Marlies | 42c | 1,149$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.6 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Toronto Marlies | 42c | 627.84$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.69 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Toronto Marlies | 42c | 459.44$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.96 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Toronto Marlies | 42c | 279.91$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.56 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Charlotte Checkers | 58c | 174.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Toronto Marlies | 42c | 149.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Toronto Marlies | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Toronto Marlies | 42c | 100.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Toronto Marlies | 42c | 43.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aec…6e19backed Toronto Marlies | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Toronto Marlies | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Toronto Marlies | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Toronto Marlies | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.