CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3b8627754fe07bbbb86dbb26e668e9bce57637174193f0c068679c0386a05db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSDIILITof CSDIILIT, HEROIC Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,545 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x568c…fbd0backed CSDIILIT | 73c | 13,371$9,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600.95 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked HEROIC Academy | 28c | 6,160$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.61 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed HEROIC Academy | 55c | 4,813$2,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627.88 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked CSDIILIT | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 768 | 56.9%437 W · 331 L | +49.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed HEROIC Academy | 33c | 923.32$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.92 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked CSDIILIT | 50c | 915.04$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.52 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed HEROIC Academy | 33c | 844.44$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.67 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HEROIC Academy | 37c | 654.63$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.01 | 6,540 | 42.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L | -81.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked CSDIILIT | 57c | 608.19$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.99 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked CSDIILIT | 52c | 562.37$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.74 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked HEROIC Academy | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed HEROIC Academy | 37c | 513.58$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.96 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked HEROIC Academy | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 212 | 45.8%97 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed HEROIC Academy | 31c | 313.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed HEROIC Academy | 34c | 297.03$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.84 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CSDIILIT | 65c | 282.73$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.74 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked CSDIILIT | 63c | 266.45$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.64 | 1,051 | 57.2%601 W · 450 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed HEROIC Academy | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed HEROIC Academy | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed HEROIC Academy | 48c | 202.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 282 | 46.8%132 W · 150 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86a…ef2bbacked HEROIC Academy | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed CSDIILIT | 51c | 173.4$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.14 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked HEROIC Academy | 50c | 154$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed HEROIC Academy | 53c | 130.53$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked CSDIILIT | 55c | 128.81$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked CSDIILIT | 54c | 120.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 1,713 | 52.2%895 W · 818 L | -75.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed CSDIILIT | 66c | 113.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked HEROIC Academy | 38c | 110.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed HEROIC Academy | 18c | 105$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked HEROIC Academy | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked HEROIC Academy | 24c | 95.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed HEROIC Academy | 33c | 82.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed HEROIC Academy | 25c | 78.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed HEROIC Academy | 25c | 73.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d51…7317backed HEROIC Academy | 33c | 60.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed CSDIILIT | 49c | 60.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed HEROIC Academy | 41c | 57.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked HEROIC Academy | 32c | 51.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed CSDIILIT | 47c | 41.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked CSDIILIT | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed HEROIC Academy | 34c | 39.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed CSDIILIT | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed CSDIILIT | 52c | 29.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8387…376cbacked CSDIILIT | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #18 Group C CSDIILIT won
- Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 WinnerHEROIC Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.