Music · resolved market
Will Chromakopia (Tyler the Creator) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3bda7d2164c54e4ffdc69fabc0321312deb964a150953f5249fa766c3a3b75c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 1,846$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.12 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…2930backed Yes | 6c | 1,696$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 4c | 1,235$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2201…c13cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…ff83backed Yes | 7c | 879.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 3c | 723$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19e…adbfbacked Yes | 4c | 631$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 626.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Yes | 5c | 597.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…340cbacked Yes | 11c | 493.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…e94bbacked Yes | 7c | 439.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 434.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…4b62backed Yes | 4c | 394.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc097…02b7backed Yes | 13c | 345.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 5c | 210.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4848…1585backed Yes | 7c | 199.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Yes | 14c | 135$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 16c | 87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chromakopia (Tyler the Creator) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?this page
- Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes won
- Will God Does Like Ugly (JID) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Lotus (Little Simz) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Music (Playboi Carti) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.