Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3c390367268ebecc965c6514b03dc8aa72a297e5714903d1c3fe19f987d69ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 33c | 30,738$10,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,594.35 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 19,920$13,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,346.4 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 68c | 3,164$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.36 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 67c | 2,328$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 12c | 1,723$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 68c | 1,100$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 1,010$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.45 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 892.55$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.81 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 67c | 400$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 66c | 326.47$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.47 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 64c | 280$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.97 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 173$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 33c | 163.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.68 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 43c | 140.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 49c | 92.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 67c | 90$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 67c | 81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 67c | 69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 67c | 67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…ea84backed Yes | 67c | 59.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 67c | 54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 67c | 54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 33c | 50.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 49.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 67c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 118 | 66.1%78 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 67c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 67c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 67c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 67c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 67c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 67c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 67c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 67c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 67c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 67c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 68c | 35.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed No | 60c | 31.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 29.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked No | 67c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 69c | 18.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 67c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 67c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 228 | 58.8%134 W · 94 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will Hull City AFC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.