Premier League · resolved market
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x742f7759202c22f9d92ae055d45174bd929936257ada59037033f91c8eac284e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe423…bff2backed No | 64c | 60,833$38,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,127.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 62c | 39,301$24,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,040.57 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 37c | 26,636$9,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,805.33 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 38c | 20,813$7,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,908.93 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 36c | 16,268$5,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,896.72 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 12,963$4,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,478.08 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 38c | 9,562$3,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.46 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 8,520$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.62 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 37c | 4,511$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.68 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 61c | 3,570$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.15 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 39c | 3,305$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.04 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 38c | 999$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.57 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 37c | 808$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.97 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 39c | 800$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 41c | 618$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.22 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 38c | 608$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.04 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 39c | 599.98$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.99 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 38c | 587.74$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.4 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 54c | 446$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.57 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 60c | 327.86$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.14 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 11c | 281.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 38c | 263.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 34c | 235.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…ae97backed Yes | 41c | 224.39$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 37c | 178.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 40c | 167.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 58c | 159.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 39c | 151$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 41c | 140$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.07 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 39c | 97.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 40c | 95.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x950f…8d1cbacked Yes | 36c | 71.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Yes | 37c | 63.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Yes | 36c | 55.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes | 36c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 36c | 45.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 62c | 45.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 62c | 44.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 34c | 42.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 36c | 37.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 38c | 34.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed No | 61c | 30.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 39c | 29.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 40c | 26.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-02-07?Yes won
- Will Hull City AFC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.