Tennis · resolved market
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Lausanne (Switzerland), clay: Felix Seres vs Michalis Sakellaridis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3e84a889d3672401a2df97cf6da34733309727add2e91725f77defcc2567e09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Felix Seresof Felix Seres, Michalis Sakellaridis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Felix Seres | 61c | 5,257$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.37 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Michalis Sakellaridis | 41c | 2,219$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Michalis Sakellaridis | 38c | 826.37$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.02 | 130 | 58.5%76 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Michalis Sakellaridis | 23c | 555.21$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…9fb9backed Michalis Sakellaridis | 42c | 540$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Felix Seres | 69c | 539.54$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.15 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Michalis Sakellaridis | 38c | 300$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 436 | 52.1%227 W · 209 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Michalis Sakellaridis | 37c | 295.85$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Michalis Sakellaridis | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Michalis Sakellaridis | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Felix Seres | 77c | 212.48$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Felix Seres | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Michalis Sakellaridis | 19c | 159.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Michalis Sakellaridis | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Michalis Sakellaridis | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Michalis Sakellaridis | 36c | 126.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Michalis Sakellaridis | 36c | 126.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Michalis Sakellaridis | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Michalis Sakellaridis | 49c | 120.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 782 | 48.3%378 W · 404 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Felix Seres | 61c | 98.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Michalis Sakellaridis | 25c | 98.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 240 | 39.2%94 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Michalis Sakellaridis | 44c | 84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Michalis Sakellaridis | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Michalis Sakellaridis | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 533 | 56.7%302 W · 231 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…7800backed Michalis Sakellaridis | 36c | 80.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Michalis Sakellaridis | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x940e…e290backed Felix Seres | 54c | 36.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Michalis Sakellaridis | 36c | 34.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 336 | 48.5%163 W · 173 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Felix Seres | 58c | 28.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Felix Seres | 68c | 16.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 278 | 32.4%90 W · 188 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.