TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DN SOOPers Challengersof Dplus KIA Challengers, DN SOOPers Challengers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,126
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,680

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,126 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed DN SOOPers Challengers61c5,277$3,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.21,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Dplus KIA Challengers39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95067552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Dplus KIA Challengers39c1,429$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.841,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed DN SOOPers Challengers64c1,288$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.9741439.6%164 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked DN SOOPers Challengers60c1,062$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.7370456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Dplus KIA Challengers40c522.5$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20937640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Dplus KIA Challengers40c491.43$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.573943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed DN SOOPers Challengers63c206.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2986144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Dplus KIA Challengers38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7664749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Dplus KIA Challengers39c172.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1764443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed DN SOOPers Challengers62c162$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5632941%135 W · 194 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…2d79backed DN SOOPers Challengers61c161.98$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1710155.4%56 W · 45 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Dplus KIA Challengers38c107.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5460849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd95…52fbbacked Dplus KIA Challengers39c103.9$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Dplus KIA Challengers38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3831650.3%159 W · 157 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Dplus KIA Challengers38c99.96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9863646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dplus KIA Challengers36c84.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.531,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa596…15e9backed DN SOOPers Challengers62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.654250%21 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed DN SOOPers Challengers62c50.81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3161150.6%309 W · 302 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Dplus KIA Challengers40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010657.5%61 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5930…51d2backed DN SOOPers Challengers64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.063669.4%25 W · 11 L+6.5wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed DN SOOPers Challengers62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.475150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7004…b7c4backed DN SOOPers Challengers76c28.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.848160.5%49 W · 32 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed DN SOOPers Challengers63c23.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.551,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df7…3d27backed DN SOOPers Challengers63c20.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.749537.9%36 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.