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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Aeterna Esports vs Colossal Gaming - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Colossal Gamingof Aeterna Esports, Colossal Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,662
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,203

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,662 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 5 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x60d0…e05fbacked Aeterna Esports2c2,000$40 inLost-$4010123.8%24 W · 77 L-10.7wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-47.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Aeterna Esports18c556.89$100 inLost-$100.2418945.5%86 W · 103 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Aeterna Esports10c452.09$44 inLost-$44.281,50948.5%732 W · 777 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Aeterna Esports21c49.99$10 inLost-$10.533641.1%138 W · 198 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Colossal Gaming79c49.99$39 inWon+$10.567743.9%297 W · 380 L-23.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.