Lol · resolved market
LoL: Aeterna Esports vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x493dca587b1f46bb73276a8f73b16a37856914b1d5935b839b9ad218acc77cd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colossal Gamingof Aeterna Esports, Colossal Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Colossal Gaming | 71c | 2,637$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.94 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Aeterna Esports | 27c | 2,021$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.32 | 1,492 | 48.4%722 W · 770 L | +47.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…3035backed Aeterna Esports | 27c | 1,851$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Colossal Gaming | 74c | 736.25$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.61 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Colossal Gaming | 77c | 534$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.28 | 481 | 47.2%227 W · 254 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colossal Gaming | 71c | 380.54$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.56 | 1,852 | 39.8%738 W · 1,114 L | -64.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Aeterna Esports | 23c | 347.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 209 | 66.5%139 W · 70 L | +29.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2848…8fa6backed Aeterna Esports | 36c | 274.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Aeterna Esports | 15c | 247.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 237 | 30%71 W · 166 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b68…4785backed Aeterna Esports | 24c | 214.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c248backed Aeterna Esports | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Colossal Gaming | 76c | 197.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Aeterna Esports | 24c | 153.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 471 | 36.9%174 W · 297 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Aeterna Esports | 23c | 131.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Colossal Gaming | 77c | 122$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Colossal Gaming | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 269 | 39%105 W · 164 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Aeterna Esports | 33c | 115.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aeterna Esports | 33c | 112$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 1,067 | 23.5%251 W · 816 L | -76.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Colossal Gaming | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 267 | 44.9%120 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed Aeterna Esports | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 310 | 52.3%162 W · 148 L | +30.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c8…aa76backed Aeterna Esports | 15c | 92.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Aeterna Esports | 21c | 89.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 1,082 | 39.5%427 W · 655 L | -78.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Colossal Gaming | 74c | 88.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 278 | 56.5%157 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Aeterna Esports | 27c | 85.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 483 | 57.1%276 W · 207 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Aeterna Esports | 17c | 84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1,143 | 38.8%444 W · 699 L | -46.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Aeterna Esports | 36c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Aeterna Esports | 35c | 79.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Aeterna Esports | 26c | 76.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 168 | 41.7%70 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Colossal Gaming | 75c | 73.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 400 | 55.8%223 W · 177 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Colossal Gaming | 78c | 70.03$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1,571 | 55.1%866 W · 705 L | +80.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed Aeterna Esports | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 549 | 32.4%178 W · 371 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Aeterna Esports | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 307 | 42%129 W · 178 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…d360backed Colossal Gaming | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Colossal Gaming | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…94ecbacked Colossal Gaming | 77c | 45.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd28…26d9backed Colossal Gaming | 76c | 45.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Colossal Gaming | 75c | 45.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 405 | 51.1%207 W · 198 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Aeterna Esports | 32c | 43.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Colossal Gaming | 73c | 41.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 167 | 60.5%101 W · 66 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…6167backed Aeterna Esports | 27c | 39.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Aeterna Esports | 32c | 38.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Colossal Gaming | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 903 | 50.8%459 W · 444 L | +17.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Colossal Gaming | 73c | 29.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d89…2b45backed Colossal Gaming | 62c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Colossal Gaming | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1,085 | 46.2%501 W · 584 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Colossal Gaming | 64c | 24.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Colossal Gaming | 68c | 23.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed Colossal Gaming | 66c | 22.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…a296backed Colossal Gaming | 60c | 20.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…2e87backed Colossal Gaming | 78c | 17.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 89 | 73%65 W · 24 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcedf…218cbacked Colossal Gaming | 77c | 15.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Aeterna Esports vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffsthis page
- LoL: Aeterna Esports vs Colossal Gaming - Game 1 WinnerAeterna Esports won
- LoL: Aeterna Esports vs Colossal Gaming - Game 2 WinnerColossal Gaming won
- LoL: Aeterna Esports vs Colossal Gaming - Game 3 WinnerColossal Gaming won
- LoL: Aeterna Esports vs Colossal Gaming - Game 4 WinnerColossal Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.