NHL · resolved market
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. Lada Togliatti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf43625557f522665d93810074617ef713439a3d8f8baa984ec37c9c702babdcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SKA St. Petersburgof SKA St. Petersburg, Lada Togliatti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Lada Togliatti | 22c | 1,400$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.85 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Lada Togliatti | 21c | 1,218$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.83 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 79c | 1,013$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked SKA St. Petersburg | 78c | 787.89$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.61 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Lada Togliatti | 26c | 288.68$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked SKA St. Petersburg | 73c | 257.57$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed SKA St. Petersburg | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed SKA St. Petersburg | 75c | 245$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked SKA St. Petersburg | 79c | 209.25$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Lada Togliatti | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5853…dc28backed SKA St. Petersburg | 79c | 159.04$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed SKA St. Petersburg | 78c | 128.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ef…a715backed SKA St. Petersburg | 78c | 120.27$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…781dbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 75cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Lada Togliatti | 22c | 90.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e80…56c5backed Lada Togliatti | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d1f1backed SKA St. Petersburg | 79c | 88.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…a09cbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 79c | 81.44$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Lada Togliatti | 23c | 79.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 79c | 65.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…aea2backed SKA St. Petersburg | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc090…8d3dbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 79c | 27.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…bba0backed SKA St. Petersburg | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…ef8ebacked SKA St. Petersburg | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef5e…4c1dbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e20…b6b5backed SKA St. Petersburg | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.