Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tauste: Yushan Shao vs Marine Szostak
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf476ef9fc687de3b099b2c39b3d94cf103f8d8a135e111fce54a9b7c1e561ca7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yushan Shaoof Yushan Shao, Marine Szostak
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Yushan Shao | 69c | 869.75$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.75 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Marine Szostak | 33c | 762.12$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.46 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Marine Szostak | 17c | 674.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.92 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Marine Szostak | 28c | 357.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Marine Szostak | 11c | 285.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yushan Shao | 64c | 252.68$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.69 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Marine Szostak | 15c | 248.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Marine Szostak | 16c | 189.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Marine Szostak | 6c | 188.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marine Szostak | 22c | 95.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Yushan Shao | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…dc5abacked Marine Szostak | 34c | 51.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yushan Shao | 66c | 46.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Yushan Shao | 68c | 40.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Marine Szostak | 27c | 38.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Yushan Shao | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Yushan Shao | 74c | 23.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Yushan Shao | 65c | 19.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Yushan Shao | 70c | 16.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.