Lol · resolved market
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Project Conquerors (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf47df89440c7583e17665d68c46ce804c6750943a7ca5235238a66ec455f0137
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Skillcamp Esportof Skillcamp Esport, Project Conquerors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Skillcamp Esport | 59c | 2,180$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.73 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Project Conquerors | 41c | 1,499$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.59 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Skillcamp Esport | 59c | 682.15$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.15 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Skillcamp Esport | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Project Conquerors | 41c | 439.02$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 257 | 33.1%85 W · 172 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Skillcamp Esport | 59c | 416$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Project Conquerors | 39c | 410$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed Project Conquerors | 46c | 384.94$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.44 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Project Conquerors | 34c | 369.36$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.14 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Skillcamp Esport | 67c | 287.99$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.32 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Project Conquerors | 40c | 276$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Project Conquerors | 37c | 255.22$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.13 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cb…820abacked Project Conquerors | 37c | 168.24$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Skillcamp Esport | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Project Conquerors | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Project Conquerors | 41c | 148.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 307 | 42%129 W · 178 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Project Conquerors | 24c | 136.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Skillcamp Esport | 66c | 118.68$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…b398backed Skillcamp Esport | 53c | 103.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Project Conquerors | 38c | 95.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb99a…1300backed Skillcamp Esport | 80c | 73.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Project Conquerors | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Skillcamp Esport | 61c | 54.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Project Conquerors | 39c | 50.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Project Conquerors | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Project Conquerors | 40c | 47.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 411 | 46.5%191 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Project Conquerors | 41c | 46.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 489 | 51.5%252 W · 237 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14c…c2bbbacked Skillcamp Esport | 73c | 41.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Project Conquerors | 48c | 40.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Project Conquerors | 41c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Skillcamp Esport | 55c | 32.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe7…6ab1backed Skillcamp Esport | 61c | 24.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb013…1336backed Skillcamp Esport | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.