Tennis · resolved market
Jiujiang: Dalila Spiteri vs Kyoka Okamura
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf483651ba73d41fca455c54c883a27b7da988d9192d0a7945229c1dd228ac3be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kyoka Okamuraof Dalila Spiteri, Kyoka Okamura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Dalila Spiteri | 19c | 16,616$3,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.78 | 278 | 46%128 W · 150 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kyoka Okamura | 75c | 5,056$3,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.08 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kyoka Okamura | 72c | 1,773$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.96 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Dalila Spiteri | 34c | 1,207$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.69 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dalila Spiteri | 9c | 1,176$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dalila Spiteri | 16c | 706.94$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.46 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Dalila Spiteri | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kyoka Okamura | 75c | 505$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.55 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dalila Spiteri | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kyoka Okamura | 69c | 380.44$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.94 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kyoka Okamura | 75c | 350$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5c…f951backed Kyoka Okamura | 70c | 283.54$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d4…bd63backed Dalila Spiteri | 10c | 264.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b2…0f1ebacked Kyoka Okamura | 69c | 242.05$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Kyoka Okamura | 74c | 207.48$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Dalila Spiteri | 20c | 199.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Kyoka Okamura | 68c | 179.5$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Dalila Spiteri | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dalila Spiteri | 13c | 127.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Dalila Spiteri | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Dalila Spiteri | 16c | 122.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Kyoka Okamura | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Dalila Spiteri | 20c | 96.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Dalila Spiteri | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 165 | 29.1%48 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Dalila Spiteri | 24c | 72.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Kyoka Okamura | 74c | 67.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 630 | 52.4%330 W · 300 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Kyoka Okamura | 75c | 61.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 283 | 48.4%137 W · 146 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Dalila Spiteri | 19c | 59.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Dalila Spiteri | 30c | 39.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Kyoka Okamura | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Dalila Spiteri | 36c | 32.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Kyoka Okamura | 75c | 20.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked Kyoka Okamura | 78c | 13.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 212 | 59.4%126 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.