TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wuning: Clement Chidekh vs Yuki Mochizuki

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clement Chidekhof Clement Chidekh, Yuki Mochizuki
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,228
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,228 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84bd…34d0backed Yuki Mochizuki1c7,143$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010829.6%32 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yuki Mochizuki22c2,249$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.1937741.4%156 W · 221 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yuki Mochizuki13c2,014$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.398,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yuki Mochizuki7c1,592$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.853,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yuki Mochizuki8c1,584$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yuki Mochizuki11c1,001$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.116726.9%18 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Yuki Mochizuki10c861$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.274,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Yuki Mochizuki12c485.13$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1130715.6%48 W · 259 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yuki Mochizuki14c424.27$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.081,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Yuki Mochizuki14c417.33$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7159253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yuki Mochizuki8c404.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2324637.4%92 W · 154 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Yuki Mochizuki11c394.08$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2219344.6%86 W · 107 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Yuki Mochizuki15c383.43$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.419851%101 W · 97 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed Yuki Mochizuki27c337.72$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1815850%79 W · 79 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yuki Mochizuki15c332.18$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8240548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Yuki Mochizuki22c207.81$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.524,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Clement Chidekh77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4630857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Clement Chidekh74c183.5$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.081,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yuki Mochizuki9c168.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9916645.2%75 W · 91 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ae…f71ebacked Yuki Mochizuki11c158.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2439039.5%154 W · 236 L-46.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Clement Chidekh76c154.4$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.361,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6b3…f8c1backed Yuki Mochizuki7c144$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0815641.7%65 W · 91 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Yuki Mochizuki14c139.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9223444.9%105 W · 129 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1f…acafbacked Yuki Mochizuki14c138.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.937345.2%33 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Yuki Mochizuki14c135.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4629652.4%155 W · 141 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Yuki Mochizuki14c132.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0630555.4%169 W · 136 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yuki Mochizuki13c128.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1423758.6%139 W · 98 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yuki Mochizuki11c127.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.21,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Clement Chidekh80c123.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7110454.8%57 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Yuki Mochizuki14c121.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7211958.8%70 W · 49 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Yuki Mochizuki16c120$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1157953.7%311 W · 268 L+19.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Yuki Mochizuki16c108.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7973549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Yuki Mochizuki16c106.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0220836.5%76 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Yuki Mochizuki15c105.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8533557%191 W · 144 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yuki Mochizuki11c101.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4717656.3%99 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Yuki Mochizuki16c93.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4729851%152 W · 146 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Yuki Mochizuki15c91.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7357052.6%300 W · 270 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Clement Chidekh78c91.37$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0665264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Yuki Mochizuki16c88.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1476853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yuki Mochizuki16c88.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1485348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Yuki Mochizuki16c88.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1413151.1%67 W · 64 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yuki Mochizuki16c88.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1448453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Yuki Mochizuki16c88.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1419153.4%102 W · 89 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Yuki Mochizuki19c87.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.976,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Clement Chidekh78c80.06$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6134149.9%170 W · 171 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1968…8c66backed Yuki Mochizuki16c75.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.055160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85ad…d3fbbacked Yuki Mochizuki16c72.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4410454.8%57 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae02…7ed0backed Yuki Mochizuki16c72.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.449056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yuki Mochizuki16c71.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.511,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yuki Mochizuki16c71.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.511,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Clement Chidekh74c40.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4732043.8%140 W · 180 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2612…398fbacked Clement Chidekh73c27.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.31450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc274…86debacked Clement Chidekh69c26.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2149342.8%211 W · 282 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Clement Chidekh75c25.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.396,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Clement Chidekh70c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.943067%288 W · 142 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f65…38bfbacked Clement Chidekh79c14.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.1113466.4%89 W · 45 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.