Tennis · resolved market
ITF Figueira Da Foz: Tiago Pereira vs Patrick Schoen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4964c685e8ea965e925d447178bd48c7b1bce1c3b9411235b0b8f053387f26e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patrick Schoenof Tiago Pereira, Patrick Schoen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Tiago Pereira | 60c | 1,550$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Patrick Schoen | 40c | 1,125$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.75 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Patrick Schoen | 30c | 433.87$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.19 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Tiago Pereira | 67c | 231.74$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.19 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tiago Pereira | 66c | 127.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Patrick Schoen | 40c | 98.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Patrick Schoen | 40c | 92.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Tiago Pereira | 58c | 92.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Patrick Schoen | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Patrick Schoen | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Patrick Schoen | 30c | 41.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…b898backed Tiago Pereira | 61c | 41.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Patrick Schoen | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…1f59backed Tiago Pereira | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Tiago Pereira | 62c | 33.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tiago Pereira | 42c | 31.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Patrick Schoen | 34c | 30.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Patrick Schoen | 55c | 27.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Patrick Schoen | 40c | 25.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tiago Pereira | 54c | 23.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Patrick Schoen | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…c696backed Tiago Pereira | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 180 | 72.8%131 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.