Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: REJECT vs Fennel (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4ae2e428e3ee7fed19143fcc1de8ee1b94538e23052c31e3c2283628e896200
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fennelof REJECT, Fennel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked Fennel | 62c | 705.13$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.92 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe163…9d33backed Fennel | 62c | 592.7$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad2…fcd9backed REJECT | 37c | 587.41$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked REJECT | 39c | 268.65$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.54 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked REJECT | 15c | 189.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked REJECT | 18c | 177.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Fennel | 62c | 143$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REJECT | 38c | 129.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…3d64backed Fennel | 60c | 113.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked REJECT | 31c | 99.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed REJECT | 41c | 78.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked REJECT | 43c | 64.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed REJECT | 33c | 49.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked REJECT | 41c | 31.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Fennel | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REJECT | 39c | 28.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.