Euroleague · resolved market
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4b3fb939994f4a458513826ee16f51bb83fadc1638c491cca429ade04bd5b8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xinjiang Flying Tigersof Jiangsu Dragons, Xinjiang Flying Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Jiangsu Dragons | 38c | 1,089$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.19 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 64c | 1,022$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.2 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Jiangsu Dragons | 37c | 900$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Jiangsu Dragons | 7c | 666.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Jiangsu Dragons | 33c | 280.06$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 37c | 119$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 68c | 102.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf413…807abacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 66c | 97.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Jiangsu Dragons | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 67c | 50.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Jiangsu Dragons | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 65c | 34.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Jiangsu Dragons | 35c | 30.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Jiangsu Dragons | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.